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Niclas Fullkrug
26'
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Julian Brandt
79'
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Lewis Hall
9'
Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fjacob-murphy_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
41.91%
▼
(-5.52)
Draw
23.16%
▼
(-0.45)
Newcastle United
34.93%
▲
(+5.97)
Both Teams to Score:
64.28%
▲
(+4.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.94%
▲
(+4.70)
Under 2.5
37.06%
▼
(-4.69)
Over 3.5
40.75%
▲
(+4.90)
Under 3.5
59.25%
▼
(-4.90)
Over 4.5
22.75%
▲
(+3.85)
Under 4.5
77.25%
▼
(-3.85)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
81.82%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
18.18%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
50.83%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
49.17%
▲
(+0.63)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
78.57%
▲
(+5.81)
Under 0.5
21.43%
▼
(-5.81)
Over 1.5
45.56%
▲
(+8.22)
Under 1.5
54.44%
▼
(-8.22)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
41.91%
Draw
23.16%
Newcastle United
34.93%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-0.67)
1-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-1.73)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-1.56)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.94)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.42)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 41.91%
1-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-1.73)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-1.56)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.94)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.42)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 41.91%
Draw
1-1
@
10.23%
▼
(-0.66)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.61)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.96)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.44)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.61)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.96)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.44)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
7.88%
▲
(+0.80)
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.52)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.98)
2-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.81)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.60)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-98.25)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-84.78)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 34.93%
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.52)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.98)
2-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.81)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.60)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-98.25)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-84.78)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 34.93%