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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Dortmund

Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
47.74% (0.168 0.17)22.04% (0.158 0.16)30.21% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 66.4% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (-0.971 -0.97)33.42% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.79% (-1.119 -1.12)55.21% (1.121 1.12)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.304 -0.3)14.55% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.589 -0.59)42.6% (0.592 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)22.29% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-1.014 -1.01)55.74% (1.015 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 47.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 30.21%
    Draw 22.04%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.087 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
20.0%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
67.5%
80
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