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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Heidenheim

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Larsson (39'), Knauff (72')
Ngankam (11'), Max (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beste (23'), Muller (29'), Mainka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
54.71% (0.328 0.33)22.53% (-0.141 -0.14)22.76% (-0.185 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.433 0.43)42.28% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.432 0.43)64.68% (-0.431 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.26300000000001 0.26)15.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.491 0.49)44.17% (-0.489 -0.49)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.076000000000008 0.08)32.31% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.087 0.09)68.81% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%
    Heidenheim 22.76%
    Draw 22.53%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.76%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Heidenheim

Eintracht Frankfurt
50.0%
Draw
35.7%
Heidenheim
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Heidenheim
1-2
Frankfurt
Schnatterer (96')
Dovedan (56'), Feick (78')
Haller (109')
Hasebe (106')