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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Heidenheim

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Larsson (39'), Knauff (72')
Ngankam (11'), Max (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beste (23'), Muller (29'), Mainka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Heidenheim

Although Frankfurt will understandably head into this match as favourites, the loss of Randal Kolo Muani to Paris Saint-Germain at the end of the summer transfer window has clearly hit them hard, and their results may suffer until the France forward is belatedly replaced in January. Heidenheim will be fresher and more confident having had no European involvements in midweek and beaten Union Berlin last time out, and we can envisage them returning home with another point to add to their growing tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
54.71% (0.328 0.33) 22.53% (-0.141 -0.14) 22.76% (-0.185 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.433 0.43)42.28% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.432 0.43)64.68% (-0.431 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.26300000000001 0.26)15.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.491 0.49)44.17% (-0.489 -0.49)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.076000000000008 0.08)32.31% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.087 0.09)68.81% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%
    Heidenheim 22.76%
    Draw 22.53%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.76%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Heidenheim

Eintracht Frankfurt
50.0%
Draw
35.7%
Heidenheim
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Heidenheim
1-2
Frankfurt
Schnatterer (96')
Dovedan (56'), Feick (78')
Haller (109')
Hasebe (106')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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