Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 9' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 31' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 63' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 74' goal
  • Amine Adli 82' goal
  • yellowcard Norman Theuerkauf 37'
  • goal Eren Dinkci 58'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Bayern 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 2.30pm
Heidenheim 4 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Tim Kleindienst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 50.35% (+1.57)
Draw 23% (+0.01)
Heidenheim 26.64% (-1.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.01% (-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.37% (-1.23)
Under 2.5 40.63% (+1.24)
Over 3.5 36.99% (-1.27)
Under 3.5 63.01% (+1.28)
Over 4.5 19.77% (-0.99)
Under 4.5 80.22% (+0.99)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 83.7% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 16.3% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 54.13% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 45.86% (-0.20)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 71.7% (-1.75)
Under 0.5 28.3% (+1.75)
Over 1.5 35.98% (-2.26)
Under 1.5 64.02% (+2.26)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 50.35%
Draw 23%
Heidenheim 26.64%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 7.59% (+0.48)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (+0.15)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 50.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.61% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 5.82% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 26.64%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal Gameweek 3
Feb 5, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena (Heidenheim an der Brenz)
  • Nikola Dovedan 47' goal
  • Niklas Dorsch 64' yellowcard
  • Maurice Multhaup 72' goal
  • goal Julian Brandt 44'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 77'
  • yellowcard Julian Baumgartlinger 88'