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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Hacken

Wirtz (10'), Adli (16'), Okoh Boniface (66'), Hofmann (70')
Tapsoba (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Hacken

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hacken 3-2 Halmstad
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHacken
40.09% (-0.168 -0.17)23.04% (-0.004999999999999 -0)36.88% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 65.13% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.050000000000004 0.05)36.1% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (0.055999999999997 0.06)58.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)18.56% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)49.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.107 0.11)20.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (0.172 0.17)52.23% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.09%
    Hacken 36.88%
    Draw 23.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHacken
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hacken

Bayer Leverkusen
85.5%
Draw
8.1%
Hacken
6.5%
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