Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
Hacken	Draw	FK Zalgiris
52.44% ( -4.65)	21.39% ( 1.11)	26.16% ( 3.54)

Both teams to score 65.45% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71% (

-1.61)

33.29% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.94% (

-1.87)

55.05% (

1.87)

Hacken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-1.85)

13% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.48% (

-3.91)

39.52% (

3.91)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

1.72)

24.77% (

-1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66% (

2.34)

59.34% (

-2.34)

Score Analysis

Hacken 52.45%

FK Zalgiris 26.16%

Draw 21.39%

Hacken	Draw	FK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.54) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.54) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.53) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.34) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.3) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.38% Total : 52.45%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39%	1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.68) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.16%