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Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
1 - 3
Hacken

Hnid (85')
Vucur (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hrstic (38', 47'), Rygaard Jensen (70')
Romeo (63'), Gustafson (84'), Trpchevski (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Zalgiris and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League
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Hacken

All competitions
Last Game: Hacken 3-3 KI (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawHacken
33.02%24.7%42.28%
Both teams to score 58.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06%44.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71%67.29%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.31%
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75%54.25%
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 33.02%
    Hacken 42.28%
    Draw 24.7%
FK ZalgirisDrawHacken
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-1 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Loser Match 1 vs Loser Match 3

Loser Match 1
51.6%
Draw
19.4%
Loser Match 3
29.0%
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