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Mats Hummels
61'
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Julian Ryerson
74'
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Marcel Sabitzer
76'
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Dayot Upamecano
4'
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Harry Kane
9'
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Leroy Sane
22'
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Thomas Tuchel
42'
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Harry Kane
72'
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Konrad Laimer
85'
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Harry Kane
90'+3'
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Bayern Munich Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.53)
2-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 35.2%
2-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.39)
3-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.23)
2-4 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.21)
0-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 41.93%
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