DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Bayern logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Bayern

Sontheimer (45+1'), Gaus (90+6')
Zeitz (10'), Sontheimer (72'), Gaus (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muller (16')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saarbrucken

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Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
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Bayern Munich

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saarbrucken win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
10.84% (0.582 0.58)15.45% (0.489 0.49)73.71% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)31.57% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)53.07% (0.828 0.83)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.543 0.54)40.06% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.491 0.49)76.71% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (-0.363 -0.36)7.33% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (-0.971 -0.97)26.49% (0.978 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 10.84%
    Bayern Munich 73.71%
    Draw 15.45%
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.84%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.45%
0-2 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 5.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 73.71%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Bayern

Saarbrucken
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
84.2%
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