Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parken

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Bayern

Lerager (55')
Meling (54'), Lerager (63'), Vavro (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Musiala (67'), Tel (83')
Musiala (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Copenhagen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Copenhagen 0-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Copenhagen	Draw	Bayern Munich
31.1% ( -0.06)	22.92% ( -0.24)	45.98% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 63.65% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.75% (

1.16)

37.25% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.54% (

1.24)

59.45% (

-1.24)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

0.53)

23.64% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

0.76)

57.74% (

-0.76)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

0.57)

16.63% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.53% (

1.01)

46.47% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Copenhagen 31.1%

Bayern Munich 45.98%

Draw 22.91%

Copenhagen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.1%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.4% Total : 45.98%