Champions League
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Birger Meling 54' yellowcard
  • Lukas Lerager 55' goal
  • Lukas Lerager 63' yellowcard
  • Denis Vavro 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 67'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 69'
  • goal Mathys Tel 83'

Copenhagen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 5.45pm
Galatasaray 2 - 2 Copenhagen

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
Bayern 4 - 3 Man Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result

Copenhagen 31.1% (-0.07)
Draw 22.92% (-0.25)
Bayern Munich 45.98% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.65% (+0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.75% (+1.16)
Under 2.5 37.25% (-1.16)
Over 3.5 40.54% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 59.45% (-1.24)
Over 4.5 22.58% (+1.00)
Under 4.5 77.42% (-1.00)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 23.64% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 42.26% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-0.76)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 83.36% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 16.63% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 53.53% (+1.01)
Under 1.5 46.47% (-1.01)

Score analysis

Copenhagen 31.1%
Draw 22.91%
Bayern Munich 45.98%
Copenhagen
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.53% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 6.58% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.89% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.91%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 5.46% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.93% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.76% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.7% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 45.98%