MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 13:07:47| >> :120:4568:4568:
FC Copenhagen
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parken
Bayern logo

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Bayern

Lerager (55')
Meling (54'), Lerager (63'), Vavro (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Musiala (67'), Tel (83')
Musiala (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Copenhagen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 0-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern Munich

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Bayern, with Copenhagen boasting a lot of talent, especially in advanced positions. The German outfit have not exactly been at their free-flowing best this season, but we are expecting them to secure all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawBayern Munich
31.1% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.92% (-0.244 -0.24) 45.98% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 63.65% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (1.158 1.16)37.25% (-1.159 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (1.237 1.24)59.45% (-1.238 -1.24)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.52800000000001 0.53)23.64% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.756 0.76)57.74% (-0.756 -0.76)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.56699999999999 0.57)16.63% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (1.006 1.01)46.47% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 31.1%
    Bayern Munich 45.98%
    Draw 22.91%
CopenhagenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.46% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Copenhagen vs Bayern

Copenhagen
10.4%
Draw
11.7%
Bayern Munich
77.9%
154
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
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9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
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12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
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14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
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