Bundesliga
Gameweek
6
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-
Lois Openda
20'
-
Lois Openda
20'
-
Castello Lukeba
26'
-
Castello Lukeba
26'
-
Mohamed Simakan
54'
-
Castello Lukeba
64'
-
Harry Kane
38'
-
Sven Ulreich
44'
-
Dayot Upamecano
51'
-
Harry Kane
57'
-
Leroy Sane
70'
-
Jamal Musiala
72'
-
Mathys Tel
81'
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result
RB Leipzig
28.74%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
23.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Bayern Munich
47.91%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
60.53%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
40.71%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
36.91%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
63.09%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
19.71%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
80.29%
▲
(+0.10)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
73.13%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
26.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
37.82%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
62.17%
▲
(+0.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
82.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
52.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
47.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
28.74%
Draw
23.34%
Bayern Munich
47.91%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
7.03%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.74%
1-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.74%
Draw
1-1
@
10.69%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
9.41%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.91%
0-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.91%
Head to Head
DFL-Supercup
-
Benjamin Pavard
13'
-
Dayot Upamecano
34'
-
Dani Olmo
3'
-
Dani Olmo
44'
-
Dani Olmo
68'
-
Dani Olmo
71'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
33
-
Serge Gnabry
25'
-
Konrad Laimer
64'
-
Christopher Nkunku
76'
-
Dominik Szoboszlai
86'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
16
-
Marcel Halstenberg
52'
-
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
37'
DFL-Supercup
-
Mohamed Simakan
36'
-
Marcel Halstenberg
59'
-
Christopher Nkunku
77'
-
Dani Olmo
89'
-
Lukas Klostermann
90'+2'
-
Jamal Musiala
14'
-
Sadio Mane
31'
-
Benjamin Pavard
45'
-
Joshua Kimmich
64'
-
Serge Gnabry
66'
-
Lucas Hernandez
73'
-
Benjamin Pavard
76'
-
Leroy Sane
87'
-
Manuel Neuer
90'+7'
-
Leroy Sane
90'+8'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
21
-
Thomas Muller
12'
-
Lucas Hernandez
22'
-
Robert Lewandowski
44'
-
Josko Gvardiol
58'
-
Andre Silva
27'
-
Konrad Laimer
45'+1'
-
Christopher Nkunku
53'
-
Christopher Nkunku
63'
-
Benjamin Henrichs
74'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
4
-
Konrad Laimer
58'
-
Robert Lewandowski
12'
-
Jamal Musiala
47'
-
Leroy Sane
54'
-
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
90'+2'