Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Bayern

Openda (20', 20'), Lukeba (26', 26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wiesbaden 2-3 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-4 Bayern
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
28.74% ( -0.12)	23.35% ( 0.01)	47.91% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 60.53% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29% (

-0.13)

40.71% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91% (

-0.13)

63.09% (

0.13)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.14)

26.86% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.19)

62.17% (

0.19)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

-0.01)

17.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47% (

-0.01)

47.53% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 28.74%

Bayern Munich 47.91%

Draw 23.34%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.74%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.91%