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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Union Berlin are missing a ridiculous amount of players through injury at present, which is a shame as it would be great to see both of these sides face each other at full-strength. Although the hosts have looked mightily impressive so far this season - and indeed over the course of their previous three campaigns at this level since gaining promotion - we can envisage Leipzig taking advantage of their opponent's busy treatment table by edging to a tight victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
43.91% (1.058 1.06) 25.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.51% (-1.052 -1.05)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.478 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.399 -0.4)49.74% (0.401 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.357 -0.36)71.75% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.33300000000001 0.33)22.58% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (0.492 0.49)56.19% (-0.49 -0.49)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-0.919 -0.92)30.22% (0.921 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-1.114 -1.11)66.38% (1.115 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 43.91%
    RB Leipzig 30.51%
    Draw 25.58%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.258 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.267 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
RB Leipzig
31.4%
105
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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