Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin0 - 3RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig
Union Berlin are missing a ridiculous amount of players through injury at present, which is a shame as it would be great to see both of these sides face each other at full-strength. Although the hosts have looked mightily impressive so far this season - and indeed over the course of their previous three campaigns at this level since gaining promotion - we can envisage Leipzig taking advantage of their opponent's busy treatment table by edging to a tight victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
43.91% ( 1.06) | 25.58% ( -0) | 30.51% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
