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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 38.78% ( | 25.62% ( | 35.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( | 70.67% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( | 24.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( | 59.13% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( | 61.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6% |