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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
5 - 1
Stuttgart

Henrichs (51'), Olmo (63'), Openda (66'), Kampl (74'), Simons (76')
Rose (45+7'), Schlager (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (35')
Egloff (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
38.78% (-1.147 -1.15)25.62% (0.134 0.13)35.6% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 55.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (-0.464 -0.46)48.55% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-0.424 -0.42)70.67% (0.42200000000001 0.42)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)24.63% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.143 -1.14)59.13% (1.138 1.14)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.37400000000001 0.37)26.4% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.499 0.5)61.56% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 38.78%
    Stuttgart 35.6%
    Draw 25.61%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.6%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
80.6%
Draw
9.7%
Stuttgart
9.7%
103
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-1
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Fuhrich (68' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')