Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
RB Leipzig

Scally (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Werner (75')
Raum (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	RB Leipzig
27.2% ( -0.02)	22.87% ( 0.04)	49.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44% (

-0.21)

39.56% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09% (

-0.21)

61.91% (

0.22)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

-0.12)

27.34% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

-0.15)

62.8% (

0.16)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0.08)

16.06% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0.15)

45.43% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 27.2%

RB Leipzig 49.93%

Draw 22.87%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.93%