Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.