Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
35% ( 0.38) | 26.2% ( 0.35) | 38.79% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% ( -1.45) | 51.14% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( -1.28) | 72.99% ( 1.29) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.47) | 27.99% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% ( -0.6) | 63.63% ( 0.61) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -1.05) | 25.8% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -1.45) | 60.76% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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