Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 2
AC Milan

Joelinton (33')
Joelinton (72'), Schar (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pulisic (59'), Chukwueze (84')
Leao (40'), Maignan (45+1'), Jovic (78'), Musah (80'), Florenzi (90')

Reaction

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe pictured on December 13, 2023

Eddie Howe left "absolutely devastated" by Newcastle United's Champions League exit

Eddie Howe admits he is "absolutely devastated" to see his Newcastle United side crash out of the Champions League and Europe altogether following Wednesday's 2-1 home defeat to AC Milan in Group F.

Dec 13, 23:15

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United's first Champions League journey in 21 years ends at the first hurdle as AC Milan come from behind to prevail 2-1 in their final Group F encounter.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 AC Milan
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	AC Milan
49.27% ( 0.51)	24.28% ( 0.08)	26.45% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

-0.8)

46.54% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18% (

-0.76)

68.82% (

0.76)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

-0.11)

18.95% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

-0.18)

50.47% (

0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

-0.88)

31.55% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

-1.02)

67.95% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 49.27%

AC Milan 26.45%

Draw 24.28%

Newcastle United	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.45%