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Joelinton
33'
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Joelinton
72'
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Fabian Schar
90'+5'
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Rafael Leao
40'
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Mike Maignan
45'+1'
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Christian Pulisic
59'
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Luka Jovic
78'
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Yunus Musah
80'
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Samuel Chukwueze
84'
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Alessandro Florenzi
90'
Newcastle United vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Fnewdej.JPG)
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Newcastle United
49.27%
▲
(+0.52)
Draw
24.28%
▲
(+0.09)
AC Milan
26.45%
▼
(-0.60)
Both Teams to Score:
55.48%
▼
(-0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.46%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
46.54%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 3.5
31.18%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
68.82%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 4.5
15.5%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
84.5%
▲
(+0.54)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
81.05%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
18.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
49.53%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
50.47%
▲
(+0.19)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
68.45%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
31.55%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
32.05%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 1.5
67.95%
▲
(+1.03)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
49.27%
Draw
24.28%
AC Milan
26.45%
Newcastle United
1-0
@
9.95%
▲
(+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 49.27%
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 49.27%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.28%
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.28%
AC Milan
0-1
@
6.9%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.45%
1-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.45%