/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Samuel Chukwueze
37'
-
Fikayo Tomori
67'
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Marco Reus
10'
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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
59'
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Karim Adeyemi
69'
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Emre Can
90'+6'
AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fac-milan.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
44.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
23.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Borussia Dortmund
31.72%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
62.06%
▲
(+0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.52%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
39.48%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
38.17%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 3.5
61.82%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 4.5
20.69%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 4.5
79.3%
▼
(-0.52)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
82.04%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
17.96%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
51.21%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
48.79%
▼
(-0.46)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
75.64%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
24.36%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
41.24%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 1.5
58.76%
▼
(-0.53)
Score analysis
AC Milan
44.84%
Draw
23.43%
Borussia Dortmund
31.72%
AC Milan
2-1
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.84%
1-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.84%
Draw
1-1
@
10.6%
▼
(-0.12)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
7.49%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.72%
0-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.72%