Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.