Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
PSG

Leao (12'), Giroud (50')
Musah (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Skriniar (9')
Vitinha (24'), Kolo (29'), Ugarte (43'), Hernandez (55'), Skriniar (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Montpellier
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
37.36% ( 1.74)	24.77% ( 0.59)	37.87% ( -2.34)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

-2.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-2.69)

44.55% (

2.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

-2.66)

66.92% (

2.66)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.3)

23.57% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

-0.43)

57.63% (

0.43)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

-2.34)

23.3% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

-3.54)

57.25% (

3.54)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 37.36%

Paris Saint-Germain 37.87%

Draw 24.76%

AC Milan	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.61) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.87%