/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fpsglog.png)
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Rafael Leao
12'
-
Olivier Giroud
50'
-
Yunus Musah
66'
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Milan Skriniar
9'
-
Vitinha
24'
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Randal Kolo
29'
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Manuel Ugarte
43'
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Lucas Hernandez
55'
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Milan Skriniar
80'
AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Fpsg.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
37.36%
▲
(+1.75)
Draw
24.77%
▲
(+0.60)
Paris Saint-Germain
37.87%
▼
(-2.34)
Both Teams to Score:
58.62%
▼
(-2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.45%
▼
(-2.70)
Under 2.5
44.55%
▲
(+2.70)
Over 3.5
33.08%
▼
(-2.66)
Under 3.5
66.92%
▲
(+2.66)
Over 4.5
16.85%
▼
(-1.97)
Under 4.5
83.15%
▲
(+1.97)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
76.43%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
23.57%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
42.37%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
57.63%
▲
(+0.43)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
76.7%
▼
(-2.35)
Under 0.5
23.3%
▲
(+2.35)
Over 1.5
42.75%
▼
(-3.54)
Under 1.5
57.25%
▲
(+3.54)
Score analysis
AC Milan
37.36%
Draw
24.76%
Paris Saint-Germain
37.87%
AC Milan
2-1
@
8.36%
▲
(+0.26)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.83)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.36%
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.83)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.36%
Draw
1-1
@
11.56%
▲
(+0.46)
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.62)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.62)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2
@
8.42%
▼
(-0.27)
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.44)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.35)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.28)
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.22)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.87%
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.44)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.35)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.28)
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.22)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.87%