Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
52.01% ( 0.05) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 25.01% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.02% ( 0.42) | 41.98% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( 0.42) | 64.38% ( -0.43) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( 0.17) | 16.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( 0.31) | 45.69% ( -0.31) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.25) | 30.26% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.3) | 66.44% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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