Serie A
Gameweek
10
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-
Matteo Politano
50'
-
Natan
53'
-
Giacomo Raspadori
63'
-
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
65'
-
Alessandro Zanoli
86'
-
Natan
89'
-
Olivier Giroud
22'
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Olivier Giroud
31'
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Tijjani Reijnders
55'
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Luka Romero
62'
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Yunus Musah
78'
Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Napoli
52.01%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
22.98%
▼
(-0.09)
AC Milan
25.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
58.44%
▲
(+0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.02%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
41.98%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
35.62%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 3.5
64.38%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 4.5
18.73%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 4.5
81.27%
▼
(-0.33)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
83.8%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
16.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
54.31%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
45.69%
▼
(-0.32)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
69.73%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
30.26%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
33.56%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
66.44%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Napoli
52.01%
Draw
22.98%
AC Milan
25.01%
Napoli
2-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 52.01%
1-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 52.01%
Draw
1-1
@
10.66%
▼
(-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
AC Milan
1-2
@
6.37%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.01%