Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.