/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F37%2Fwelcome-to-sports-mole-transparent-click-area.png "Welcome to Sports Mole")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fsports-mole-favicon-32x32.png "Sports Mole FAVICON"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F40%2Fcl-header.jpg "Champions League header")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Funblog.png "Union Berlin logo")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png "Napoli logo")
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Napoli |
23.24% ( 0.01) | 23.54% ( 0) | 53.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0) | 46.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( -0) | 68.52% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( 0) | 34.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( 0.01) | 70.75% ( -0.01) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( -0.01) | 17.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.31% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.21% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Napoli
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}