Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Christopher Trimmel 10' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 51' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amir Rrahmani 17'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 65'

Union Berlin vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Union Berlin 2 - 3 Braga

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
Napoli 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result

Union Berlin 23.24% (+0.01)
Draw 23.54% (+0.01)
Napoli 53.22% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.23%
Over 3.5 31.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.52%
Over 4.5 15.7% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.29%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 65.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.25% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.75% (-0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 82.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.68% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 23.24%
Draw 23.54%
Napoli 53.21%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.54%
Napoli
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 53.21%