Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
44.93% ( -1.92)	23.29% ( 0.22)	31.78% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 62.61% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23% (

-0.21)

38.77% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92% (

-0.22)

61.07% (

0.22)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

-0.83)

17.64% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.76% (

-1.45)

48.24% (

1.45)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.93)

23.98% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

1.31)

58.22% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Napoli 44.93%

Fiorentina 31.78%

Draw 23.28%

Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.93% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.78%