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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Cagliari

Gonzalez (3'), Dossena (21' og.), N'Zola (90+4')
Infantino (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavoletti (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
56.5% (0.766 0.77)23.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03)19.87% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-1.294 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-1.112 -1.11)50.44% (1.114 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.992 -0.99)72.37% (0.99499999999999 0.99)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.128 -0.13)17.66% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-0.22 -0.22)48.28% (0.222 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-1.475 -1.48)39.75% (1.476 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-1.39 -1.39)76.42% (1.393 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.5%
    Cagliari 19.87%
    Draw 23.61%
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

Fiorentina
89.0%
Draw
6.6%
Cagliari
4.4%
91
Head to Head
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Fiorentina
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Altare (10'), Mazzarri (60'), Pedro (81'), Ceppitelli (86')
Sottil (75')
Biraghi (29'), Sottil (75'), Maleh (89')
Odriozola (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
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May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Cagliari
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Jan 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
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Cagliari
Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')

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> Preview
Jul 8, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-0
Cagliari
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