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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Ferencvaros

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Ferencvaros

Barak (66'), Ikone (90+3')
Gonzalez (86'), Italiano (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Varga (25'), I (50')
Siger (23'), Mmaee (55'), Varga (57'), Ali Ben Romdhane (66'), Dibusz (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: MTK 1-6 Ferencvaros
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFerencvaros
48.61% (0.014999999999993 0.01)23.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.5% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)44.07% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)65.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 48.61%
    Ferencvaros 27.5%
    Draw 23.89%
FiorentinaDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Ferencvaros

Fiorentina
73.8%
Draw
15.0%
Ferencvaros
11.3%
80