Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.