Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for MTK had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a MTK win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.