Hungarian NB I Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 4.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 2
FT Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion
  • Istvan Bognar 12' goal
  • Mihaly Kata 46' yellowcard
  • goal Barnabas Varga 22'
  • goal Marquinhos 41'
  • goal Marquinhos 55'
  • yellowcard Cebrail Makreckis 58'
  • goal Henry Wingo 63'
  • goal Mohammad Abu Fani 86'
  • goal Aleksandar Pesic 90'+2'

MTK vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MTK

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 6.30pm
Ujpest 0 - 2 MTK
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Istvan Bognar

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Last game
Sep 27, 2023 7.00pm
Ferencvaros 1 - 0 Kecskemeti TE
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Barnabas Varga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for MTK had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a MTK win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result

MTK 14.79% (-0.21)
Draw 20.26% (+0.02)
Ferencvaros 64.94% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 44.62% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 33.02% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 66.98% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 16.8% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 83.19% (+0.35)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5 57.51% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 42.48% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 21.14% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 78.85% (+0.50)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 87.04% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 12.96% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 60.55% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 39.44% (+0.20)

Score analysis

MTK 14.79%
Draw 20.26%
Ferencvaros 64.94%
MTK
1-0 @ 4.71% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 14.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.26%
Ferencvaros
0-2 @ 11.49% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 11.25% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.83% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 4% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 64.94%