Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MTK in this match.

Result
MTK	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
43.41% ( 2.06)	26.56% ( 0.06)	30.03% ( -2.12)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08% (

-0.96)

53.91% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

-0.81)

75.37% (

0.81)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

0.62)

24.65% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83% (

0.86)

59.17% (

-0.86)

Kecskemeti TE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

-1.98)

32.7% (

1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

-2.27)

69.25% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

MTK 43.4%

Kecskemeti TE 30.03%

Draw 26.56%

MTK	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.03%