Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 9.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Kecskemeti TE win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.