UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vikingsvollur

Vikingur
1 - 0
Riga FC

(Riga FC win 2-1 on aggregate)

Gudjonsson (82')
Djuric (58'), Ekroth (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muzinga (90+3')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vikingur Reykjavik and Riga FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vikingur Reykjavik

Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Vikingur
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Riga FC

Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Vikingur
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Vikingur Reykjavik	Draw	Riga FC
29.52% ( -0.17)	23.1% ( -0.01)	47.39% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 62% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

-0.04)

39.01% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67% (

-0.05)

61.33% (

0.05)

Vikingur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.13)

25.49% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

-0.18)

60.34% (

0.18)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

0.05)

16.78% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26% (

0.09)

46.74% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik 29.52%

Riga FC 47.39%

Draw 23.09%

Vikingur Reykjavik	Draw	Riga FC
2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.52%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 4.27% Total : 47.39%