Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion

Debrecen
1 - 3
MTK

Barany (7')
Domingues (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bobal (10'), Bognar (13'), Nemeth (63')
Gey (24'), Bobal (66'), Kadar (84')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Debrecen

All competitions
Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 4-1 Varda SE
Monday, August 21 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I

MTK

All competitions
Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 1-0 Kecskemeti TE
Saturday, August 19 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.

Result
DebrecenDrawMTK
34.66% (-0.337 -0.34)25.55% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.78% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63% (-0.243 -0.24)48.36% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.223 -0.22)70.5% (0.218 0.22)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.316 -0.32)26.86% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.417 -0.42)62.17% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.059000000000005 0.06)58.28% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Debrecen 34.67%
    MTK 39.78%
    Draw 25.54%
DebrecenDrawMTK
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.78%