Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.

Result
Debrecen	Draw	Varda SE
40.82% ( 0.03)	27.25% ( -0)	31.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.05% (

55.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.95% (

77.05% (

-0)

Debrecen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

0.02)

26.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

0.02)

62.26% (

-0.02)

Varda SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-0.01)

32.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

-0.02)

68.91% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Debrecen 40.81%

Varda SE 31.93%

Draw 27.25%

Debrecen	Draw	Varda SE
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.81%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.93%