Ferencvaros
Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Groupama Arena

Ferencvaros
1 - 0
Varda SE

Lisztes (44')
Siger (70'), Botka (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cipetic (56'), Ilievski (77'), Melnyk (83'), Lippai (84'), Kovacic (90+1')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Ferencvaros and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-1 Cukaricki
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ujpest 3-2 Varda SE
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Varda SE win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawVarda SE
71.96% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.38% (0.067 0.07)10.66% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-0.346 -0.35)41.75% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (-0.348 -0.35)64.16% (0.35000000000001 0.35)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.104 -0.1)10.25% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.238 -0.24)33.61% (0.238 0.24)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.251 -0.25)47.34% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.188 -0.19)82.74% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 71.95%
    Varda SE 10.66%
    Draw 17.38%
FerencvarosDrawVarda SE
2-0 @ 12.59% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 9.56% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 71.95%
1-1 @ 8.27% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 3.63% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.66%