Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 17
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion

Ujpest
3 - 2
Varda SE

Ljujic (27'), Ambrose (53'), Morschel (81')
Ambrose (42'), Ganea (70'), Mack (90+13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mesanovic (6'), Jovicic (72')
Cipetic (23'), Otvos (34'), Kovacic (55'), Jovicic (56'), Balogh (90+13')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Ujpest and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ujpest 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE
Saturday, August 26 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Diosgyor 2-0 Varda SE
Saturday, August 26 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ujpest would win this match.

Result
UjpestDrawVarda SE
46.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.93%28.04%
Both teams to score 51.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)74.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.37%
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30%70% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ujpest 46.02%
    Varda SE 28.04%
    Draw 25.92%
UjpestDrawVarda SE
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.04%