Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.