Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.