Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 43.48% | 25.49% ( | 31.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( | 49.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( | 71.21% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( | 22.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( | 56.1% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.02% |