Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.