Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.