Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
| 51.86% ( | 24.84% ( | 23.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( | 51.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( | 73.34% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( | 19.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( | 51.96% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.26% ( | 73.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.3% |