Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 2
AC Milan

Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 PSG
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
33.66% ( -0.29)	27.07% ( -0.02)	39.27% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.02)

54.87% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.02)

76.16% (

-0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

-0.18)

30.67% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

-0.21)

66.92% (

0.21)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.18)

27.27% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

0.24)

62.71% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Lecce 33.66%

AC Milan 39.27%

Draw 27.06%

Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.66%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.27%