Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
33.66% ( -0.29) | 27.07% ( -0.02) | 39.27% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.13% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.84% ( 0.02) | 76.16% ( -0.02) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -0.18) | 30.67% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( -0.21) | 66.92% ( 0.21) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( 0.18) | 27.27% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.29% ( 0.24) | 62.71% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |