Serie A Gameweek 12
Lecce
Nov 11, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
AC Milan
  • Ylber Ramadani 45' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 62' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 66' goal
  • Lameck Banda 70' goal
  • Roberto Piccoli 85' yellowcard
  • Joan Gonzalez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 28'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 35'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 44'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 80'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 80'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'
  • redcard Olivier Giroud 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 90'+5'

Lecce vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 5.00pm
Roma 2 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 0 - 1 Udinese
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 33.66% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 27.07% ▼ (-0.02)
AC Milan 39.27% ▲ (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.42% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 10.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 30.67% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 33.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 66.92% ▲ (+0.21)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 27.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 37.29% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 62.71% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Lecce 33.66%
Draw 27.06%
AC Milan 39.27%
Lecce
1-0 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.06%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 39.27%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 23, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Rafael Leao 40' goal
  • Rafael Leao 74' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Lecce
Jan 14, 2023 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
AC Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 3' goal
  • Federico Baschirotto 23' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 58'
  • goal Davide Calabria 70'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Lecce
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Via del Mare
AC Milan
  • Fabio Lucioni 49' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 54' goal
  • goal Samu Castillejo 26'
  • yellowcard Simon Kjaer 45'+3'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 55'
  • goal Ante Rebic 57'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 63'
  • goal Rafael Leao 72'
Serie A Gameweek 8
AC Milan
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Lecce
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 20' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 81' goal
  • Lucas Biglia 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zan Majer 44'
  • goal Khouma Babacar 62'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 76'
  • goal Marco Calderoni 92'

Form Data

Roma 2 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 2 - 4 Parma
Lecce 0 - 1 Torino
Udinese 1 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Sassuolo
Lecce 0 - 4 Napoli
AC Milan 2 - 1 PSG
AC Milan 0 - 1 Udinese
Napoli 2 - 2 AC Milan
PSG 3 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Juventus
Genoa 0 - 1 AC Milan