Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 1
Lecce

Thauvin (49' pen.)
Kabasele (5'), Thauvin (77'), Ebosele (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piccoli (83')
Ramadani (34'), Baschirotto (72'), Pongracic (72'), Dorgu (75'), Gendrey (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Udinese
Friday, October 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Lecce
43.88% ( -0.83)	27.9% ( 0.03)	28.22% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.43% (

0.25)

59.57% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.09% (

0.19)

79.91% (

-0.19)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.31)

26.98% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

-0.41)

62.33% (

0.42)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

0.79)

37.11% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1% (

0.78)

73.9% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Udinese 43.88%

Lecce 28.22%

Draw 27.89%

Udinese	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.22%