Serie A Gameweek 11
Roma
Nov 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lecce
  • Renato Sanches 76' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 89' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 90'+1' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+4' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 17'
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 27'
  • goal Pontus Almqvist 72'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 77'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Espeto 87'

Roma vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 5.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Roma
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.00pm
Lecce 0 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.09%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 64.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 22.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Lecce 12.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 82.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 52.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 13.43%
Under 1.5 86.56%

Score analysis

Roma 64.59%
Draw 22.48%
Lecce 12.91%
Roma
1-0 @ 15.97%
2-0 @ 14.09%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 64.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.48%
Lecce
0-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.91%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
Lecce
Feb 11, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma
  • Ibanez 7' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 17'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Roma
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lecce
  • Chris Smalling 6' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 48' goal
  • goal Gabriel Espeto 39'
Coppa Italia
Roma
Jan 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Lecce
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 38' yellowcard
  • Marash Kumbulla 40' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 54' goal
  • Ibanez 71' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 76' yellowcard
  • Eldor Shomurodov 81' goal
  • yellowcard Marcin Listkowski 12'
  • goal Arturo Calabresi 14'
  • yellowcard Thorir Johann Helgason 44'
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Mariano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mario Gargiulo 60'
  • redcard Mario Gargiulo 62'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Roma
Feb 23, 2020 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lecce
  • Cengiz Under 13' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 37' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 49' yellowcard
  • Edin Dzeko 69' goal
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 80' goal
Serie A Gameweek 6
Lecce
Sep 29, 2019 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Roma
  • Fabio Lucioni 79' yellowcard
  • Andrea Rispoli 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 19'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 25'
  • yellowcard Chris Smalling 49'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 56'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 96'

Form Data

Inter Milan 1 - 0 Roma
Roma 2 - 0 Slavia Prague
Roma 1 - 0 Monza
Cagliari 1 - 4 Roma
Roma 4 - 0 Servette
Roma 2 - 0 Frosinone
Lecce 2 - 4 Parma
Lecce 0 - 1 Torino
Udinese 1 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Sassuolo
Lecce 0 - 4 Napoli
Juventus 1 - 0 Lecce