Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 1
Roma

Zapata (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukaku (68')
Paredes (60'), Kristensen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Torino	Draw	Roma
36.13% ( 0)	29.93% ( 0.19)	33.94% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 42.29% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.1% (

-0.62)

64.9% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.18% (

-0.44)

83.82% (

0.44)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

-0.33)

34.22% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09% (

-0.36)

70.91% (

0.36)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29% (

-0.47)

35.71% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

-0.48)

72.48% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Torino 36.13%

Roma 33.94%

Draw 29.92%

Torino	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.13%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.92%	0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.94%