Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Romelu Lukaku 21' goal
  • Andrea Belotti 46' goal
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 52' goal
  • Andrea Belotti 59' goal
  • yellowcard Gael Ondoua 70'
  • yellowcard David Douline 81'

Roma vs Servette - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 - 2 Roma

Servette

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Servette 0 - 2 Slavia Prague

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Servette had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 55.13% (-0.04)
Draw 22.5% (+0.02)
Servette 22.36% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.39% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 42.61% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.98% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.02% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.25% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.75% (+0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 84.65% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 15.35% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 55.87% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 44.13% (+0.07)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5 67.15% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.85% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.58% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.42% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Roma 55.13%
Draw 22.5%
Servette 22.36%
Roma
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 55.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.5%
Servette
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.36%