Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.