Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.