Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2

Jul 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
5 - 2
Winterthur

van Breemen (41'), Ndoye (58'), Augustin (63'), Frei (90+1', 90+3' pen.)
Schmid (35'), Millar (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Di Giusto (8'), Stillhart (80')
Schmid (23'), Sidler (33'), Buess (63'), Schneider (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swiss Super League clash between Basel and FC Winterthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Winterthur 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	FC Winterthur
54.22% ( -1.25)	23.49% ( 0.47)	22.3% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-1.09)

47% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-1.02)

69.25% (

1.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

-0.84)

17.24% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45% (

-1.49)

47.55% (

1.5)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

0.14)

35.36% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

0.14)

72.12% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Basel 54.21%

FC Winterthur 22.3%

Draw 23.49%

Basel	Draw	FC Winterthur
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.3%