Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 42.73% ( | 22.93% ( | 34.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( | 36.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% ( | 58.14% ( |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( | 17.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% ( | 47.87% ( |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( | 21.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( | 54.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
St Gallen 42.73%
Basel 34.34%
Draw 22.93%
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 4.11% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-3 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 4% ( 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.34% |
How you voted: St Gallen vs Basel
St Gallen
53.8%Draw
23.1%Basel
23.1%13
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Mar 12, 2023 3.30pm
Jan 22, 2023 3.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Form Guide


