Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.