Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.