Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.