Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
Schutzenwiese
St Gallen

Winterthur
1 - 0
St Gallen

Holenstein (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and St Gallen.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Grasshopper 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

St Gallen

All competitions
Last Game: Basel 1-1 St Gallen
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawSt Gallen
31.01% (-0.275 -0.27)22.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.75% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 66.16% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.05% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)33.94% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.19% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)55.8% (0.321 0.32)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.294 -0.29)22.08% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.445 -0.45)55.43% (0.444 0.44)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)15.09% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)43.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 31.01%
    St Gallen 46.75%
    Draw 22.24%
FC WinterthurDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.021 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.75%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Winterthur
1-0
St Gallen
Burkart (21')
Ramizi (26')
Jul 23, 2022 7.30pm
St Gallen
2-0
Winterthur
Schubert (20', 40')
Gortler (27'), Maglica (83')
Gortler (66')

Ramizi (14'), Lekaj (28'), Diaby (53'), Abedini (70')