Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.